预测市场 in 2026: The State of the Industry
From $73 million in 2023 to over $44 billion combined in 2025, 预测市场 have become a permanent part of the financial information landscape.
Dec 14, 2025
NO. 07/博客/200 POSTS/UPDATED DAILY
洞察与更新
来自 Blockcircle 团队的市场分析、产品更新和交易策略。
02 — LEAD
Latest from the desk.
Published
March 24, 2026
March 24, 2026
每一笔交易的完整多资产交易清单
在每一笔交易之前过一遍 10 项清单，可以避免在加密、股票、大宗商品和预测市场中最常见也最昂贵的错误。
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03 — INDEX
The archive.
200 posts total
Newest first.
Newest first.
构建Your 预测市场 交易 Plan From Scratch
A 交易 plan defines what, how, and how much you trade before you place a single position. It transforms 交易 from ad hoc decisions into a repeatable...
Feb 6, 2026
A Plain-Language Guide to 预测市场 Terminology
预测市场 use specific terms that can confuse newcomers. This guide explains each term in plain language with practical context.
Jan 25, 2026
The MTE for 加密货币与股票: Key Differences in Application
The 动量 交易 Engine applies the same principles to 加密货币 and 股票, but optimal parameters differ significantly between the two asset classes.
May 2, 2026
How 情绪 Shifts Before Major 预测市场 价格 Moves
情绪 across news, social media, and expert commentary often shifts direction before 预测市场 价格 adjust.
Jan 5, 2026
挖矿 Economics如何创造a 价格 Floor for 比特币
挖矿 costs create a soft floor under 比特币's 价格. When 价格 falls below cost of production, marginal miners shut down, reducing selling pressure.
Dec 21, 2025
How to Analyze Prediction Market Contracts Before Expiration
As contracts approach resolution, the analytical framework shifts from probability assessment to resolution mechanics.
Dec 26, 2025
The Expanding Universe of Tradeable Predictions and What It Means
From politics to sports to science to entertainment, the range of events you can trade predictions on keeps growing. This expansion creates new analytical...
Feb 10, 2026
为什么Tracking Resolved 预测市场 Outcomes Improves Future 分析
Every resolved 预测市场 contract is a 数据 point about your analytical accuracy. Systematically tracking these outcomes builds a feedback loop...
Dec 11, 2025