Análise de mercado, atualizações de produto e estratégias de trading da equipe Blockcircle.
A lot of what looks like support or resistance in the order book is just a quote someone put there to be seen, not filled. Here is how to tell the difference before you trade against it.
Most chart patterns look great in hindsight because the eye picks the ones that worked. Here is what survives when you define them mechanically and count every case.
A parameter change to a trading bot is a deployment. Here is a lightweight change-management process for versioning config, validating it, and rolling it out at reduced size first.
An unlock date is not a uniform supply event. Decompose the tranche by recipient class, estimate a sell fraction from prior cliffs on the same schedule, and hedge the expected float rather than the headline.
Two global M2 charts rarely agree, and half the reason is FX conversion hiding inside them. Here is how to build one you can actually reason about before you trade on it.
With no earnings there is no multiple, so the model has to be built from one customer upward. Unit economics, contribution margin and a terminal margin, worked through in round numbers.
Most seed backups fail one of three tests: fire, theft, or you forgetting how the scheme worked. Here is how to design a backup that survives disaster without adding new single points of failure.
Most Form 4 filings cluster after earnings because company blackout policies force them there. Here is how to tell calendar mechanics apart from real conviction.
A machine-written market note rarely tells you to buy. It leans, through verb choice, framing and which side of each metric gets called good, and the lean is easy to strip out once you know the four moves.
On-chain metrics get restated when providers find new wallet clusters, so the exchange-reserve series you backtest today is not what you saw live. Here is how that bias creeps in.
Rolling a futures position is a recurring cost or credit hiding in your P&L. Here is how contango and backwardation set it, and how to annualize the drag before you deploy.
